Milan From Half A

Soccer Betting Lines

Everton has made two key acquisitions in January, landing American international Landon Donovan on loan and signing Manchester United midfielder Darron Gibson to a four-and-a-half year deal. David Moyes hopes that these two pieces can help the Toffees avoid losing their third straight league result when Everton heads to Villa Park to face Aston Villa.

 

Chelsea has its hands full with a Saturday clash against Sunderland at Stamford Bridge. Under new manager Martin O'Neill, the Black Cats have won four of six Premier League games to improve to 24 points on the year. The Blues, meanwhile, have taken just six points from their last five games and are quickly fading away from the title picture.

 

Wolfsburg, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Wolfsburg signed Switzerland defender Ricardo Rodriguez from FC Zurich on Friday on a 4 1/2-year contract. Rodriguez, 19, becomes the 10th new signing for Wolfsburg manager Felix Magath this winter. He debuted for Switzerland last year, and has already appeared in four matches.

 

Paris, France (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Carlo Ancelotti has led three European giants in Italy and England, and the Italian now has the task of developing a fourth in France. Ancelotti was named PSG's new coach late last month, and he inherits a team at the top of the Ligue 1 standings after the first half of the season. But, the former Juventus, AC Milan and Chelsea boss needs to produce better results.

 

Although PSG, which spent more than $100 million on offseason transfers, is at the summit, that was not enough to save former coach Antoine Kombouare.

 

PSG sporting director Leonardo turned to fellow countryman Ancelotti, who is no stranger to pressure as Juve, AC Milan and Chelsea were all clubs that were not interested in just being among the best.

 

"We have to work hard to improve and I don't know how long that will take," he said.

 

Like Ancelotti, Javier Pastore will continue to shoulder a lot of pressure - only on the field. Pastore has six goals, but as the most expensive offseason addition at around $50 million, he has still disappeared at times.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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